Is School Worth It?

Time Magazine

Employers and career experts see a growing problem in American society – an abundance of college graduates, many burdened with tuition-loan debt, heading into the work world with a degree that doesn’t mean much anymore.

The problem isn’t just a soft job market – it’s an oversupply of graduates. In 1973, a bachelor’s degree was more of a rarity, since just 47% of high school graduates went on to college. By October 2008, that number had risen to nearly 70%. For many Americans today, a trip through college is considered as much of a birthright as a driver’s license. (See pictures of the college dorm’s evolution.)

Marty Nemko, a career and education expert who has taught at U.C. Berkeley’s Graduate School of Education, contends that the overflow in degree holders is the result of many weaker students attending colleges when other options may have served them better. "There is tremendous pressure to push kids through," he says, adding that as a result, too many students who aren’t skilled become degree holders, promoting a perception among employers that higher education doesn’t work. "That piece of paper no longer means very much, and employers know that," says Nemko. "Everybody’s got it, so it’s watered down."

What’s not watered down is the tab. The cost of average tuition rose 6.5% this fall, and a report released on Dec. 1 by the Project on Student Debt showed that the IOU is getting bigger. Two-thirds of all students now leave college with outstanding loans; the average amount of debt rose to $23,200 in 2008. In the last academic year, the total amount loaned to students increased about 18% from the previous year, to $81 billion, according to the U.S. Department of Education.

Meanwhile, the unemployment rate for recent grads rose as well. It is now 10.6%, a record high.

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Majority of Americans Worried About Inflation

Despite reports of slowing inflation from Federal Reserve policymakers, Americans remain highly concerned about the issue and lack confidence in the Fed to keep inflation under control.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 81% of American adults are somewhat or very concerned about inflation, down just two points from July and four points from April. That figure includes 57% who say they are very concerned

MB: Clearly many Americans are very concerned about the possibilities of inflation, the real  issue is whether or not they should be.  The best way to answer this question of whether or not we should be concerned about inflation is to simply look at the definition of inflation and then compare data that is available today.

According to www.investorwords.com inflation is”The overall general upward price movement of goods and services in an economy, usually as measured by the Consumer Price Index and the Producer Price Index. Over time, as the cost of goods and services increase, the value of a dollar is going to fall because a person won’t be able to purchase as much with that dollar as he/she previously could.”

So what causes an increase in overall consumer prices?  A major contributor to an increase in prices is the money supply; as the Fed prints more money the value of the dollar generally becomes weaker (all other things constant).  Another determinant that could cause higher consumer prices is an increase in production costs such as labor, metals, or other commodities; increases in production costs will lead to organizations charging higher prices to maintain profits. 

Inflation can also be caused by international lending and national debts. As nations borrow money, they have to deal with interests, which in the end cause prices to rise as a way of keeping up with their debts. A deep drop of the exchange rate can also result in inflation, as governments will have to deal with differences in the import/export level.

These are just a few examples of events that can increase the overall price for consumers which could lead to inflation. Clearly Americans have a right to be concerned, our debt is unsustainable (we are a debtor nation), our money supply has increase drastically in a short period of time, and an increase in the amount of money that we are borrowing from China is extraordinary.

However high unemployment rates, record high consumer saving percentages (around 5% of income), high competition, and low consumer spending should keep inflation in check for the time being.  This is not to say our country and the Fed will need to face this issue in the near future; large amounts of borrowing and stimulus spending is a perfect recipe for hyper-inflation. 

Source:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/

http://www.investorwords.com/

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